Should I ship a Submarine game?
Submarine
Of 84 developers who shipped a Submarine game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 126 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×472 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 126 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $958 (exactly $958) |
| Top 25% | $8.7k (exactly $8,683) |
| Top 5% | $296k (exactly $296,403) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 84 |
| Released games | 256 |
| Announced | 126 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.20 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Submarine
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Submarine
- Price point
- $6.20 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.20.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 17,573 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 46 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 126 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
All pairs with Submarine
- Submarine + Nature Fair $2.4k
- Strategy + Submarine Fair $2.4k
- Naval Combat + Submarine Poor odds $3.4k
- Co-op + Submarine Poor odds $3.0k
- Submarine + Horror Poor odds $2.8k
- Physics + Submarine Poor odds $2.7k
- Simulation + Submarine Poor odds $2.7k
- Open World + Submarine Poor odds $2.4k
- Submarine + Sci-fi Poor odds $1.8k
- Submarine + Naval Poor odds $1.2k
- Submarine + Exploration Poor odds $959
- Submarine + Adventure Poor odds $958
- Immersive Sim + Submarine Poor odds $958
- Submarine + Underwater Poor odds $898
- Action + Submarine Poor odds $898
- Submarine + Arcade Poor odds $598
- Action-Adventure + Submarine Poor odds $449
- Combat + Submarine Poor odds $300
- Submarine + War Dead $67k
- Submarine + World War II Dead $67k
- Submarine + Wargame Dead $65k
- Submarine + Military Dead $65k
- Submarine + Historical Dead $52k
Comparable games
Barotrauma 2023 · $65M 
UBOAT 2024 · $23M 
Sea Power : Naval Combat in the Missile Age 2024 · EA · $9.2M 
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts 2023 · $7.0M 
Cold Waters 2017 · $5.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Barotrauma | older | $34.99 | 61,905 94% | 1.9M | $65M (exactly $64,981,678) | FakeFish, Undertow Games |
| | UBOAT | older | $29.99 | 25,568 83% | 767k | $23M (exactly $23,003,530) | Deep Water Studio |
| | Sea Power : Naval Combat in the Missile Age | · EA | $49.99 | 6,109 90% | 183k | $9.2M (exactly $9,161,667) | Triassic Games |
| | Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts | older | $34.99 | 6,664 62% | 200k | $7.0M (exactly $6,995,201) | Game-Labs |
| | Cold Waters | older | $39.99 | 4,603 87% | 138k | $5.5M (exactly $5,522,219) | Killerfish Games |
 | War on the Sea | older | $39.99 | 3,151 76% | 95k | $3.8M (exactly $3,780,255) | Killerfish Games |
 | Abyssus | $24.99 | 5,014 84% | 150k | $3.8M (exactly $3,758,996) | DoubleMoose Games | |
 | Iron Lung | older | $7.99 | 10,168 92% | 305k | $2.4M (exactly $2,437,270) | David Szymanski |
 | We Need To Go Deeper | older | $15.99 | 4,652 86% | 140k | $2.2M (exactly $2,231,564) | Deli Interactive LLC |
 | Wolfpack | · EA older | $34.99 | 1,862 88% | 56k | $2.0M (exactly $1,954,541) | Usurpator AB |
 | The Mermaid Mask | $19.99 | 2,776 99% | 83k | $1.7M (exactly $1,664,767) | SFB Games | |
 | Modern Naval Warfare | · EA | $59.99 | 237 58% | 7.1k | $427k (exactly $426,529) | Wave Ops |
 | Darkwater | $9.99 | 989 77% | 30k | $296k (exactly $296,403) | Targon Studios | |
 | Ocean Keeper: Dome Survival | $9.99 | 826 77% | 25k | $248k (exactly $247,552) | RetroStyle Games | |
 | Behind Glass: Aquarium Simulator | $14.99 | 390 95% | 12k | $175k (exactly $175,383) | BitBros Inc | |
 | Fantasy Aquarium | $6.99 | 833 79% | 25k | $175k (exactly $174,680) | MOON SCAPE | |
 | Static Dread: The Submarine | $11.99 | 307 81% | 9.2k | $110k (exactly $110,428) | solarsuit.games | |
 | Victory at Sea Atlantic - World War II Naval Warfare | $39.99 | 92 60% | 2.8k | $110k (exactly $110,372) | Evil Twin Artworks |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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