Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsSnowboarding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Snowboarding game?

Snowboarding

Only 19 developers shipped a Snowboarding game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sword of the Sea, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×2347 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 44 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Snowboarding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $419 → $79k → $44k → $599 → $350k → $3.4k (still earning) → $270 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Snowboarding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $99k (exactly $98,756)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,473,709)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 72
Announced 44
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Snowboarding
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Snowboarding
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 5,651 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $98k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 6 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Snowboarding

7 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Snowboarding + Action Poor odds $1.3k 11 devs
  2. Snowboarding + Physics Dead $99k 7 devs
  3. Skiing + Snowboarding Dead $44k 7 devs
  4. Snowboarding + Simulation Dead $11k 4 devs
  5. Snowboarding + Sports Dead $599 12 devs
  6. Snowboarding + Arcade Dead $599 9 devs
  7. Racing + Snowboarding Dead $599 7 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Riders Republic older $39.99 30,458 81% 914k $37M (exactly $36,540,463) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa)
Steep™ older $29.99 30,589 82% 918k $28M (exactly $27,520,923) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev)
Skater XL - The Ultimate Skateboarding Game older $39.99 18,400 86% 552k $22M (exactly $22,074,480) Easy Day Studios Pty Ltd
Shredders older $29.99 3,818 94% 115k $3.4M (exactly $3,435,055) FoamPunch
Sword of the Sea $29.99 1,638 89% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,473,709) Giant Squid
Winter Resort Simulator 2 older $24.99 1,336 84% 40k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) Simuverse Interactive
Sledding Game · EA $7.99 2,915 96% 87k $699k (exactly $698,726) The Sledding Corporation
Descenders Next · EA $29.99 389 79% 12k $350k (exactly $349,983) RageSquid
The Ramp older $5.99 1,104 95% 33k $198k (exactly $198,389) Paul Schnepf
Grand Mountain Adventure: Wonderlands older $19.99 320 92% 9.6k $192k (exactly $191,904) Toppluva AB
Star Overdrive $34.99 141 87% 4.2k $148k (exactly $148,008) Caracal Games
Tricky Madness · EA $7.99 412 95% 12k $99k (exactly $98,756) Nathan Dearth
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot
Octohill Ski Tycoon $8.99 41 85% 1.2k $11k (exactly $11,058) DeuxBaguettes
Snowlike $7.99 14 92% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) captinbeefy
P-PAN $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) palpuni
SantaCorps 4 $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Virtuoso Neomedia

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.