Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsMinimalist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Minimalist game?

Minimalist

Of 2,791 developers who shipped a Minimalist game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 3,373 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 1,766 developers shipped in the last year and 3,373 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 3,373 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minimalist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 2,791
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $718 → $599 → $599 → $564 → $538 → $359 (still earning) → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Minimalist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 2,791
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $52k (exactly $52,043)
Developers, 2 yr 2,791
Released games 9,578
Announced 3,373
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minimalist
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 82,217 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 1,530 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 3,373 games are announced against 1,766 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Minimalist

0 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Minimalist has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
INSIDE older $24.99 69,791 97% 2.1M $52M (exactly $52,322,313) Playdead
Beat Saber older $19.99 69,750 95% 2.1M $42M (exactly $41,829,075) Beat Games
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
SUPERHOT older $24.99 27,765 91% 833k $21M (exactly $20,815,420) SUPERHOT Team
Kingdom Two Crowns older $19.99 31,259 90% 938k $19M (exactly $18,746,022) Fury Studios, Coatsink
Superliminal older $19.99 28,428 94% 853k $17M (exactly $17,048,272) Pillow Castle
LIMBO older $12.49 40,672 91% 1.2M $15M (exactly $15,239,798) Playdead
Loop Hero older $14.99 33,816 92% 1.0M $15M (exactly $15,207,055) Four Quarters
Infection Free Zone · EA older $24.99 16,568 80% 497k $12M (exactly $12,421,030) Jutsu Games
Dorfromantik older $13.99 27,441 96% 823k $12M (exactly $11,516,988) Toukana Interactive
Thronefall $12.99 22,966 96% 689k $8.9M (exactly $8,949,850) GrizzlyGames, Mythwright
Cast n Chill $14.99 8,383 94% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,769,835) Wombat Brawler
Scritchy Scratchy $6.99 15,245 94% 457k $3.2M (exactly $3,196,876) Lunch Money Games
Stick It to the Stickman · EA $11.99 7,918 96% 238k $2.8M (exactly $2,848,105) Free Lives
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
Esports Manager 2026 $19.99 3,860 73% 116k $2.3M (exactly $2,314,842) Neurona Games
Öoo $9.99 6,575 99% 197k $2.0M (exactly $1,970,528) NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuy… (NamaTakahashi, tiny cactus studio, Tsuyomi)
Star Birds · EA $19.99 2,990 92% 90k $1.8M (exactly $1,793,103) Toukana Interactive
Plan B: Terraform $15.99 3,526 91% 106k $1.7M (exactly $1,691,422) Gaddy Games
Sword of the Sea $29.99 1,638 89% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,473,709) Giant Squid

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.