Do I ship it?

Games › Settings › Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval game?

Medieval

Of 2,218 developers who shipped a Medieval game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4,170 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×890 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 4,170 games are announced against 1,310 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 4,170 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 2,218
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.5k → $1.6k → $1.5k → $1.8k → $1.4k → $1.2k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 2,218
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,527)
Top 5% $423k (exactly $422,831)
Developers, 2 yr 2,218
Released games 6,185
Announced 4,170
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 469,098 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 1,151 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4,170 games are announced against 1,310 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Medieval

157 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Idler + Medieval Fair $2.4k 140 devs
  2. Local Co-Op + Medieval Fair $1.8k 46 devs
  3. Incremental + Medieval Fair $1.3k 134 devs
  4. Walking Simulator + Medieval Fair $1.1k 49 devs
  5. Score Attack + Medieval Fair $598 52 devs
  6. Solitaire + Medieval Long shot $297 19 devs
  7. Hero Shooter + Medieval Long shot $150 10 devs
  8. Open World Survival Craft + Medieval Poor odds $154k 13 devs
  9. Real-Time with Pause + Medieval Poor odds $87k 10 devs
  10. Asynchronous Multiplayer + Medieval Poor odds $53k 13 devs
  11. Turn-Based + Medieval Poor odds $19k 48 devs
  12. Naval Combat + Medieval Poor odds $17k 8 devs
  13. Roguelike Deckbuilder + Medieval Poor odds $14k 44 devs
  14. MMORPG + Medieval Poor odds $10k 13 devs
  15. Diplomacy + Medieval Poor odds $9.3k 20 devs
  16. Dating Sim + Medieval Poor odds $7.5k 56 devs
  17. Sandbox + Medieval Poor odds $7.3k 179 devs
  18. 4X + Medieval Poor odds $7.2k 37 devs
  19. Trading + Medieval Poor odds $7.2k 56 devs
  20. Life Sim + Medieval Poor odds $6.6k 89 devs
  21. Twin Stick Shooter + Medieval Poor odds $6.3k 8 devs
  22. Base Building + Medieval Poor odds $6.0k 234 devs
  23. Grand Strategy + Medieval Poor odds $5.8k 45 devs
  24. Mining + Medieval Poor odds $5.4k 30 devs
  25. Crafting + Medieval Poor odds $5.4k 215 devs
  26. Shop Keeper + Medieval Poor odds $5.4k 52 devs
  27. Cooking + Medieval Poor odds $5.1k 29 devs
  28. JRPG + Medieval Poor odds $4.9k 164 devs
  29. Destruction + Medieval Poor odds $4.9k 17 devs
  30. Co-op Campaign + Medieval Poor odds $4.8k 21 devs
  31. Split Screen + Medieval Poor odds $4.8k 12 devs
  32. City Builder + Medieval Poor odds $4.8k 185 devs
  33. Colony Sim + Medieval Poor odds $4.8k 89 devs
  34. Economy + Medieval Poor odds $4.5k 189 devs
  35. RTS + Medieval Poor odds $4.5k 144 devs
  36. Co-op + Medieval Poor odds $4.3k 122 devs
  37. Procedural Generation + Medieval Poor odds $4.1k 172 devs
  38. Gun Customization + Medieval Poor odds $4.1k 19 devs
  39. Building + Medieval Poor odds $4.0k 272 devs
  40. Party-Based RPG + Medieval Poor odds $3.8k 126 devs
  41. Visual Novel + Medieval Poor odds $3.6k 169 devs
  42. Immersive Sim + Medieval Poor odds $3.6k 98 devs
  43. Fighting + Medieval Poor odds $3.6k 17 devs
  44. Online Co-Op + Medieval Poor odds $3.6k 114 devs
  45. Management + Medieval Poor odds $3.4k 296 devs
  46. Character Customization + Medieval Poor odds $3.4k 247 devs
  47. Hex Grid + Medieval Poor odds $3.4k 38 devs
  48. Open World + Medieval Poor odds $3.4k 208 devs
  49. Resource Management + Medieval Poor odds $3.3k 295 devs
  50. Political Sim + Medieval Poor odds $3.3k 38 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition 2015 · $1.2B Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord 2022 · $346M Kingdom Come: Deliverance II 2025 · $260M Crimson Desert Enhanced 2026 · $242M Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019 · $167M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition older $49.99 823,357 96% 25M $1.2B (exactly $1,234,788,493) CD PROJEKT RED
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord older $49.99 230,490 87% 6.9M $346M (exactly $345,665,853) TaleWorlds Entertainment
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II $59.99 144,558 93% 4.3M $260M (exactly $260,161,033) Warhorse Studios
Crimson Desert Enhanced $69.99 115,056 83% 3.5M $242M (exactly $241,583,083) Pearl Abyss
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition older $34.99 158,931 94% 4.8M $167M (exactly $166,829,871) World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Captur… (World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, CaptureAge, Tantalus Media, Wicked Witch, Feral Interactive)
Crusader Kings III older $49.99 94,615 90% 2.8M $142M (exactly $141,894,116) Paradox Development Studio
Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™ older $49.99 87,777 88% 2.6M $132M (exactly $131,639,167) Monolith Productions
Kingdom Come: Deliverance older $29.99 143,303 83% 4.3M $129M (exactly $128,929,709) Warhorse Studios
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin older $39.99 83,722 84% 2.5M $100M (exactly $100,441,283) FromSoftware, Inc.
FOR HONOR™ older $29.99 108,492 69% 3.3M $98M (exactly $97,610,252) Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Toronto, Blue Byte)
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered $49.99 59,690 76% 1.8M $90M (exactly $89,517,093) Bethesda Game Studios, Virtuos
Gothic 1 Remake $49.99 26,258 88% 788k $39M (exactly $39,379,123) Alkimia Interactive
Mortal Shell II $49.99 18,644 79% 559k $28M (exactly $27,960,407) Cold Symmetry
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Foundation $34.99 23,037 86% 691k $24M (exactly $24,181,939) Polymorph Games
Half Sword · EA $24.99 28,656 71% 860k $21M (exactly $21,483,403) Half Sword Games
Assassin's Creed Mirage $49.99 11,612 76% 348k $17M (exactly $17,414,516) Ubisoft Bordeaux
ENDER MAGNOLIA: Bloom in the Mist $24.99 17,143 95% 514k $13M (exactly $12,852,107) Adglobe, Live Wire

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.