Do I ship it?

GamesMoods1980s

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 1980s game?

1980s

Of 1,225 developers who shipped a 1980s game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,330 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 1,330 games are announced against 715 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 1,330 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
1980s
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,225
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $989 → $716 → $599 → $748 → $987 → $599 (still earning) → $168 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 1980s: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,225
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,641)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,703)
Developers, 2 yr 1,225
Released games 3,724
Announced 1,330
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

1980s
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 55,634 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 678 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,330 games are announced against 715 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with 1980s

0 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with 1980s has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Arma Reforger older $39.99 51,613 80% 1.5M $62M (exactly $61,920,116) Bohemia Interactive
Counter-Strike older $9.99 169,780 96% 5.1M $51M (exactly $50,883,066) Valve
RoboCop: Rogue City older $39.99 28,196 86% 846k $34M (exactly $33,826,741) Teyon
Hotline Miami older $9.99 109,610 96% 3.3M $33M (exactly $32,850,117) Dennaton Games
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number older $14.99 69,423 94% 2.1M $31M (exactly $31,219,523) Dennaton Games
Contraband Police older $29.99 24,882 95% 746k $22M (exactly $22,386,335) Crazy Rocks
Generation Zero® older $24.99 29,115 75% 873k $22M (exactly $21,827,516) Systemic Reaction™
WARNO older $39.99 14,502 80% 435k $17M (exactly $17,398,049) Eugen Systems
Grand Theft Auto: Vice City – The Definitive Edition older $59.99 9,037 82% 271k $16M (exactly $16,263,889) Rockstar Games
Automobilista 2 older $39.99 12,002 91% 360k $14M (exactly $14,398,799) Reiza Studios
John Carpenter's Toxic Commando $39.99 6,274 72% 188k $7.5M (exactly $7,526,918) Saber Interactive
DRAGON QUEST III HD-2D Remake $59.99 4,010 75% 120k $7.2M (exactly $7,216,797) Square Enix, ARTDINK
The Precinct $29.99 7,837 87% 235k $7.1M (exactly $7,050,949) Fallen Tree Games Ltd
REPLACED $19.99 9,130 84% 274k $5.5M (exactly $5,475,261) Sad Cat Studios
UFO 50 $24.99 7,134 94% 214k $5.3M (exactly $5,348,360) Mossmouth
Mixtape $19.99 7,365 87% 221k $4.4M (exactly $4,416,790) Beethoven and Dinosaur
Urban Myth Dissolution Center $17.99 5,930 88% 178k $3.2M (exactly $3,200,421) Hakababunko
DRAGON QUEST I & II HD-2D Remake $59.99 1,731 84% 52k $3.1M (exactly $3,115,281) Square Enix, ARTDINK
The World of Kungfu: Dragon and Eagle $17.99 4,595 67% 138k $2.5M (exactly $2,479,922) ChillyRoom
Yakuza 0 Director's Cut $49.99 1,628 80% 49k $2.4M (exactly $2,441,512) RGG Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.